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NO. 2569
APRIL 30, 2007

MONTHLY SURVEY OF US COTTONSEED CRUSHINGS AND STOCKS

NCPA MEXICO CONSULTANT REPORTS

WHAT’S NEW @ COTTONSEED.COM 

MONTHLY SUMMARY OF US COTTONSEED CRUSHINGS & STOCKS (March 2007)

COTTON LEADERSHIP CLASS APPLICATIONS SOUGHT

ANNUAL CONVENTION NEWS & NOTES

SCHEDULE OF EVENTS –111th ANNUAL CONVENTION

MONDAY, MAY 7—GENERAL BUSINESS SESSION

MOVING?


MONTHLY SURVEY OF US COTTONSEED CRUSHINGS AND STOCKS - Cottonseed crushings for March totaled 247,520 tons, according to the Association’s latest monthly survey.  That is 11% higher than the 223,774 ton total of February 2007 but 11% lower than the 276,692 ton figure of March 2006 and 9% less than the 267,204 level of March 2005.  Through the first eight months of this crush season (beginning August 1), total cottonseed crushings stand at 1.8 million tons, compared to 2.1 million tons crushed during the same time frame last year and 1.9 million tons crushed during the Aug-March time frame in 2004/05…..Cottonseed receipts at oil mills totaled 3.47 million tons through March compared to 4.23 million tons a year ago and 3.90 million tons received at mills two years ago…..Stocks of cottonseed at oil mills were 1.54 million tons on March 31, somewhat less than the 1.89 million tons of seed at mills at the end of March 2006 and the 1.8 million ton mark of March 2005…..Meal stocks moved higher at the end of March to 19,408 tons compared to 10,725 tons at the end of February and 15,478 tons at the end of March 2006.  ....Hull stocks were nearly unchanged from the previous month, ending March at 37,339 tons vs 37,570 tons a month ago and 14,474 tons a year earlier.  Complete details are available on page three of this Newsletter as well in the Statistics section of the NCPA web site.

NCPA MEXICO CONSULTANT REPORTS - Ricardo Silva, NCPA/CCI’s Consultant to Mexico, reports that during the recent Easter holiday week in Mexico, the peso weakened slightly against the US dollar.  The value of the peso increased from 11.00 pesos per dollar to 11.15.  The movement was likely due to the Mexican government wanting to slow the flow of pesos out of the country.  Silva notes that at the moment, the exchange rate is back down to 10.94 pesos per dollar. The average exchange rate for 2006 was 10.89 pesos/dollar; 10.63 in 2005 and 11.28 in 2004.  Abrupt changes in these values can temporarily affect US exports, he said.  NCPA estimates that  US cottonseed meal shipments into Mexico could reach 90,000 metric tons during the 2007/08 marketing year.  In addition, Silva says a major feed manufacturer in Colombia may include US cottonseed meal in their dairy diets…...There is a recent trend by the dairy industry in Mexico to use goat milk in their products to promote dairy goat production to low income farmers due to the high fat content of its milk. Mexico has close to 9 million goats for meat and dairy production with the Northern Mexico producing about 65% of all the goat milk and 40% of all the goat meat. Cottonseed meal can be included in goat rations at about 15% of the ration, according to  a number of nutritionists familiar with the subject. That means, Silva points out, that there exists a potential market of nearly to 10,000 metric tons annually for US cottonseed meal for goats in Northern Mexico….Silva also points out in his March report that according to the Confederacion Algodonera of Mexico (Cotton Federation of Mexico), their final cotton production forecast for 2006-2007 put production at 648,098 bales, producing an estimated 246,277 metric tons of seed. This was very close to the initial estimates made by the confederation, he says. For their 2007/08 estimate released on April 11,   cotton production is forecast at 683,310 bales and seed production projected to equal 259,657 metric tons.  This estimate is lower than their first estimate of 706,250 bales of cotton. It is also note worthy that the state of Chihuahua in this new cycle is producing 54% of all the Mexican cotton production….For Silva’s complete report, see the Mexico Consultant’s Reports in the Members Only section of the web page.

WHAT’S NEW @ COTTONSEED.COM - Convention news and updates are available by following the Convention link on the home page. Of special interest, NCPA’s RULES COMMITTEE MEETING, set for 10 am Sunday, May 6, has been canceled as no Proposed Rules Changes were submitted to the committee. To be considered, proposed changes must be submitted 30 days prior to the convention. See up-to-date registrants, business session agenda, function times and places, and more…..Ricardo Silva’s complete report is available in the Mexico Consultant’s Reports section. The March report includes the most recent outlook for meal demand in Mexico and Mexican cotton production forecasts…..The Cottonseed Forums section includes posts of interested buyers and sellers of cottonseed and cottonseed products.. For March, posts were made from one buyer looking for sacked meal, one from a Syrian buyer interested in cottonseed, and two posts from West African buyers looking for cottonseed and cottonseed oil. In addition, Syrian cotton linters were offered in a post dated April 14.

MONTHLY SUMMARY OF US COTTONSEED CRUSHINGS & STOCKS (March 2007)

COTTON LEADERSHIP CLASS APPLICATIONS SOUGHT - Industry members interested in applying to or nominating someone for the '07-08 Cotton Leadership Class -- the 25th since the program's inception -- are encouraged to visit http://leadership.cotton.org. That site contains program curriculum, eligibility requirements and a downloadable application. Applicants or nominators also may contact the National Cotton Council's Member Services at 901-274-9030 or their local NCC Member Services representative for additional information. Deadline for application submission is July 2. The Cotton Leadership Program is geared to individuals who have the potential and desire to become leaders. Participants receive training during five week-long sessions across the Cotton Belt. The class, comprised of four producers and a participant from each of the other six industry segments, interacts with industry leaders and visits farms, processing operations and research facilities. They also meet with lawmakers and government agency representatives during a visit to Washington, DC, and attend the NCC's annual meeting and its mid-year board of directors meeting. The program is supported by a grant to The Cotton Foundation from DuPont Crop Protection.  This year’s current Leadership class participant from the Cottonseed segment is Brandon Winters, Producers Cooperative Oil Mill, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

ANNUAL CONVENTION NEWS & NOTES - NCPA’s Rules Committee Meeting, originally scheduled for 10 am, Sunday, May 6 at the Hilton Sandestin Beach Resort, has been canceled as no proposed changes to the NCPA Trading Rules were submitted to the committee for consideration. Under the Association’s By-Laws, proposed changes to the Rules must be submitted to the NCPA office 30 days prior to the annual convention for consideration.

SCHEDULE OF EVENTS –111th ANNUAL CONVENTION:

Saturday, May 5
Evening Social & Registration * 6 - 730 pm

Sunday, May 6
Registration * 9am – 4pm
Old Guard Reunion * 11:30 am
Ladies Luncheon * 11:30 am
Opening Reception * 6 – 7:30 pm

Monday, May 7
Registration * 8 am – 12 pm
Continental Breakfast * 7:30 am
General Session * 8 am – 11:00 am
Golf Tournament * 12 Noon
Emerald Coast Beach Bash * 6:30 pm

Tuesday, May 8
2007/08 Board Meeting * 8:00 am

MONDAY, MAY 7—GENERAL BUSINESS SESSION

* Call to Order / Invocation
* Welcome—Mayor Craig Barker, Destin, Florida
* Comments from the President—Gary Conkling, Producers Coop Oil Mill, Oklahoma   City, Oklahoma
* Address—John Pucheu, Chairman, National Cotton Council of America
*Presentations: 
  Robert Reeves, Institute of Shortening & Edible Oils
  John Baize, John C. Baize & Associates
  Dr. Bill McCutchen, Deputy Assistant Director, Texas Agricultural Experiment Station
* Comments—Ben Morgan, Executive Vice President
* Reports— Budget & Finance Committee
* Installation of President for 2007/08
* Election of Vice President for 2007/08
* Election of Directors for 2007/08

MOVING? - Please send all change of address information to: National Cottonseed Products Association, 104 Timber Creek Drive, Suite 200, Cordova, TN  38018, or email to info@cottonseed.com.

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April 30, 2007


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