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FY
2006 BUDGET DRAWS AG INTEREST
2005
COTTON PLANTINGS ESTIMATED HIGHER VS 2004
WHAT'S
NEW @ COTTONSEED.COM
WEEKLY
COTTONSEED CRUSH
2004-05
NCPA TRADING RULES BOOK
COTTONSEED
PROCESSING INDUSTRY STATISTICAL DATABASE
MONTHLY
SUMMARY OF COTTONSEED CRUSHING & STOCKS
AND
IT'S GOOD FOR YOU...
MOVING?
FY
2006 BUDGET DRAWS AG INTEREST - A major topic in Washington
and elsewhere in ag circles is President’s Bush’s
FY 2006 budget. Of
concern is the administration’s plan to cut farmers’ federal payments
and other agriculture supports by more than a half-billion dollars next
year, a plan already drawing warnings from Congress. Producers could see
payments drop if the ceiling on those payments, now set at $360,000
annually, drops to $250,000. The
administration's goal is to cut the deficit, projected to rise to $427
billion this year, in half by 2009. Farm programs could be cut by at least
$587 million next year and $5.7 billion over 10 years.
Currently, U.S. agriculture contributes about 15% to the national
GDP but accounts for about 1/2 of 1% of the federal budget.
Producers and other ag groups have always recommended a more
equitable solution be found for deficit fighting, such that all segments
of the economy share in attempts to balance the federal budget.
Of specific interest for NCPA, funding for ’06 was included at
the recommended level of $34 million for Foreign Market Development—a
program the Association uses with Cotton Council International to promote
US cottonseed meal and linter consumption overseas.
2005
COTTON PLANTINGS ESTIMATED HIGHER VS 2004 - A total of 13.73
million acres of cotton are expected to be planted this spring, up 0.6
percent from 2004, according to the National Cotton Council’s 22nd
Annual Early Season Planting Intentions Survey. The NCC survey was mailed
in mid-December of 2004 to about one-third of the producers across the
17-state Cotton Belt, and surveys were returned by mid-January.
The survey showed upland cotton planting intentions are 13.48
million acres, an increase of 0.5 percent from 2004 plantings of 13.41
million acres. Extra long staple (ELS) intentions of 255,000 acres
represent a 2.3 percent increase from 2004. With average abandonment,
total upland and ELS harvested area would be about 12.35 million acres.
Applying each state’s trend yield to its 2005 projected harvested acres
generates a crop of 18.86 million bales, 18.16 million bales of upland
cotton and 691,000 bales of ELS cotton.
Cottonseed production for 2005 is projected at 6.85 million tons,
down from 8.41 million last year. Based
on survey results, the Mid-South and Southwest regions show intended
upland cotton planting increases of 6.8 percent and 0.5 percent,
respectively. Decreases in upland cotton plantings were indicated for the
West and Southeast, down 11.3 percent and 3.2 percent, respectively.
According to the survey, Mid-South cotton plantings will expand at the
expense of both soybeans and corn. The combination of lower corn/soybean
prices, anticipated cost increases to address Asian soybean rust and
favorable cotton yields appear to be the factors leading to the increased
area. In the Southwest, the survey indicated Texas growers intend to plant
roughly the same area as last year, 5.85 million acres. Oklahoma
respondents suggest that growers intend to continue increasing acreage by
6.9 percent. After reducing planted acres last year, Kansas producers
appear prepared to increase cotton acreage 11.9 percent in 2005. One
reason for Southeast cotton plantings’ decrease in 2005 is the relative
strength of peanut prices. Respondents from the Southeast also expressed
intent to shift cotton acres to corn. Out West, growers in New Mexico
intend to increase upland area by 15.1 percent to 78,000 acres while 10.7
and 14.7 percent decreases were indicated by Arizona and California survey
respondents, respectively. (National
Cotton Council, 1/28/2005)

WHAT'S
NEW @ COTTONSEED.COM - Oil-Dri Corporation of America,
Chicago, IL has resigned
their membership in the Association…..Meeting season is fast
approaching. Check the Calendar
link on NCPA’s web site to find a list of the latest industry meetings
and events. Of interest is the
America Oil Chemists’ Society annual meeting in Salt Lake City, UT.
AOCS is planning a 5,000 sq. ft. museum in the Expo Hall saluting
the pioneers of our industry, including a look at the industry
associations around the world…..The 73rd Oil Mill Operator’s Short
Course will be held March 13-15th in Omaha, NE. Details, including a
program and registration form, are available in the What’s
New
link…..Potential sales leads for meal and cottonseed may be found in the
Cottonseed
Forum
section of the web site. You may browse the messages at any time, but to
post a message, you must log in.
WEEKLY
COTTONSEED CRUSH - Cottonseed crushings for the week ending
January 30 totaled 66,391 tons, down 0.7% from the previous week’s total
of 66,865. The past two weekly
reporting periods have exceeded their five-year averages by a combined
total of 7,952 tons. It
is the first time since mid-December 2004 that the current season’s
crush has surpassed the five year average weekly for two consecutive
periods. Year-to-date
crushings, based on weekly reports, stand at 1.41 million tons, compared
to 1.32 million tons crushed to this point in the season a year ago and
1.32 million tons crushed in 2002/03.
As this is a little past the halfway mark in the 2004/05 season,
forecasts of a 2.6 to 2.8 million ton crush appear reasonable.
2004-05
NCPA TRADING RULES BOOK - Copies of the 2004-05 Trading Rules
book have been mailed to the membership.
For additional copies, please contact the NCPA office.
COTTONSEED
PROCESSING INDUSTRY STATISTICAL DATABASE - The 2005
Statistical Database of the U.S. Cottonseed Processing Industry will be
available soon from the NCPA. Electronic
copies will be available on the Association’s web site.
Printed copies will be available to member by request only.
MONTHLY
SUMMARY OF COTTONSEED CRUSHING & STOCKS
AND
IT'S GOOD FOR YOU... - Remember the original W.T. Rawleigh's
“Antiseptic Salve”? The five-ounce tin has a picture of W.T. Rawleigh
on the lid. Active ingredients in the salve are listed as: “turpentine
and liquefied phenol combined in a base of petroleum, paraffin, and
cottonseed oil.” Directions on the back say: “For superficial burns,
scalds, blisters, bruises, cuts and wounds, sunburn, chapped, chafed and
irritated skin. Carefully wash affected area with warm water. Apply
antiseptic salve liberally twice each day. Antiseptic salve keeps the skin
surface soft. Brings soothing, protective relief. See inside for animal
use.” When you lift the lid on the can of salve, it reads: “For
animals: For wounds, skin abrasions, minor cuts, chapped teats and udders,
wire scratches and saddle chafing. Wash affected area and apply twice
daily. Wash thoroughly teats and udders of treated cows before milking.”
It was just a good old-fashioned, multi-purpose salve for animals and
human beings - and it worked for them. In those days, many, many swore by
Rawleigh salve as a great cure for many things - and there are many
old-timers that still do. (Northwest Illinois Journal-Standard, 2/7/05)
MOVING?
-
Please send all change of address information to: National Cottonseed Products
Association, 104 Timber Creek Drive, Suite 200, Cordova, TN 38018, or email to info@cottonseed.com.
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©
National Cottonseed Products Association, Inc.
February
9, 2005
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