NO. 2442
NOVEMBER 15, 2000

COTTON FORECAST AT 17.5 MILLION BALES; COTTONSEED AT 6.6 MILLION TONS

OSHA ANNOUNCES ERGONOMICS PROGRAM:FINAL RULE ISSUED NOVEMBER 14

PIMA UPDATE

VEGETABLE OIL BUSINESS NEWS
AUSTRALIAN AG UPDATE

INFORM FEATURES COTTONSEED


LOW-SAT/LOW-LIN SOY OIL IN THE WORKS

FOOD BIOTECH RESOURCES

DAIRY HERD MANAGEMENBT SURVEYED

COTTON FORECAST AT 17.5 MILLION BALES; COTTONSEED AT 6.6 MILLION TONS - The U.S. cotton crop is forecast at 17.5 million 480-lb. bales, only marginally higher than last month’s forecast but still 3% higher than the 1999-00 crop. Cottonseed production is forecast at 6.558 million tons vs. 6.354 million tons last year and 5.365 million tons two years ago. USDA raised its estimate for the cotton crops in the Southeast and Midsouth by a combined 115,000 bales. Increases in the expected cotton crops in Virginia, North Carolina, Mississippi, Arkansas and Tennessee more than offset reduced estimates in Georgia and Missouri. Texas cotton production is forecast this month at 4.3 million bales, compared to 4.4 million bales predicted last month and 5.1 million bales produced in 1999-00. It has been reported that only 30% of the crop has been harvested in the Hi Plains area of Texas in and around Lubbock. Snow and rain have shut down harvesting and ginning. Optimistic projections for the region put cotton production at 2.7 million bales, several hundred thousand bales below normal.

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OSHA ANNOUNCES ERGONOMICS PROGRAM:FINAL RULE ISSUED NOVEMBER 14 - OSHA will publish it’s final Ergonomics Program Standard (see details at www.osha.gov) in the November 14 Federal Register. The final revisions have made the standard substantially longer and seemingly more confusing. NCPA was among many who made comments on the original proposal at several points earlier this year. Jarrod Kersey, at that time NCPA's staff member handling regulatory matters, submitted comments on the proposal itself as well as testimony read into a hearing record. By announcing the final ergonomics standard now and having it take effect on Jan. 16, just before a new president is inaugurated on Jan. 20, the administration acted before a possible George W. Bush administration could delay or kill it. But Charles Jeffress, head of the Labor Department's Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) insisted that the timing of the implementation of the standard had nothing to do with the possibility of an incoming Republican administration that is likely to oppose it. OSHA’s announcement also comes in spite of the Senate’s June 22 vote to prohibit the agency from issuing the final standard for another year. The standard requires employers to implement ergonomics programs and fix jobs where musculo-skeletal disorders (MSDs) occur. While not as strong as the labor movement had sought, since it does not require action until workers are injured and does not cover all workers, the rule is viewed by labor as a huge step in bringing about improvements to workplace safety. Estimates of the burden the rules would impose on business vary widely from the $4.5 billion/year estimated by OSHA to $18 billion estimated by the National Association of Manufacturers, to several multiples of that by other groups. Business originally objected that the proposed regulations were vague, but the latest version seems to ere on the too-detailed side. Among the list of detailed specifications that employers must use to determine if their employees are performing hazardous tasks is lifting 75 lbs. more than once a day or using a hand or knee as a hammer more than 10 times a day. The proposals played a role in budget fights when a FY01 budget deal fell apart the week before the elections. The dispute was one of the reasons Congress decided to put off the budget battle until after the elections. (Sources include: Wall Street Jour. Nov. 8, 2000, Yahoo! News Nov. 13)

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PIMA UPDATE - Just as growers were entering the home stretch of Pima cotton harvesting, a series of storms moved across the far western US. Actual damage to the crops appears to be minimal, though the test will come with the outcome of the cotton remaining in the fields. Growers and ginners estimate the California Pima crop was about 70% completed before the recent rain showers hit the weekend of Oct. 27. Pima yields in California have been mixed with reports ranging from less than two bales to the acre to better than 2.5 bales per acre. Storms also battered Arizona at least three times in the last 10 days of the month, but most of the Pima has been picked. In Texas and New Mexico, much of the Pima remains in the field. Both areas were hit by storms between October 20 and 28, so harvesting has been pushed back. Of the 55,000 bales of Pima classed by USDA through October 26, more than 93% has been grade 2 or better. (Source: Supima News, October 31)

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VEGETABLE OIL BUSINESS NEWS - ACH Food Cos., a division of Associated British Foods PLC, announced it has agreed to buy Procter & Gamble Co.’s commercial shortening and oil product business, which consists of products sold to restaurants and hotels but not grocery stores. Annual sales for the line are reported to be $125 million and include the brands Frymax, Whirl and Sterling. In addition, Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM) announced recently it has reached a long-term supply agreement with HUMKO Oil Products Division of ACH Food Companies. ADM will be the primary supplier of HUMKO’s refined oils. HUMKO has said it intends to phase out refining of vegetable oils at its Champaign, IL, facility. (Source: Wall Street Journal, Feedstuffs)

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AUSTRALIAN AG UPDATE - Australia’s agricultural research unit, ABARE is forecasting cottonseed production for the 2000-01 season at 1.09 million metric tons (mmt). This is up from production of just over 1.0 mmt for the past two years and 0.94 mmt in 1997/98. USDA’s World Agricultural Outlook Board is forecasting Australian cotton production at 3.4 million 480-lb. bales, up 5 percent from last season’s 3.25 million bale crop and 3 percent higher than the 3.29 million bale crop from 1998/99. Dry weather conditions have lead forecasters to reduce production estimates for cotton in Australia, as well as for wheat and course grains during the past month. (Source: USDA & Australian Oilseed News)

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INFORM FEATURES COTTONSEED - The American Oil Chemists Society’s popular monthly publication, Inform, featured the cottonseed industry in its August, 2000 issue. By posing questions to the NCPA staff and from other sources, Inform editors produced an up-to-date picture of the cottonseed industry and the NCPA’s recent activities on behalf of its members. Because of the very well done job by Inform, reprints were ordered to use as publicity handouts for the industry. A copy is enclosed with this newsletter and additional quantities may be ordered from the NCPA office.

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LOW-SAT/LOW-LIN SOY OIL IN THE WORKS - The United Soybean Board (USB) has approved funding for the Agricultural Research Service (ARS) to accelerate development of a soybean variety that will produce a healthier soybean oil. The new oil, which will be ready for food companies to test within the next two years, will be lower in saturated fat and will reduce or eliminate the need for hydrogenation in many applications. The ideal oil traits identified by the food industry included a higher oleic acid content, lower linolenic acid and lower saturated fat. ARS researchers have identified germplasm that meets two of the three target traits, low saturated fat and low linolenic acid, and will utilize the USB funding to develop a low-sat/low-lin oil. ARS expects production of approximately 5,000 bushels of soybeans exhibiting the low-saturated fat and low-linolenic traits to be processed into nearly 5,000 gallons of oil by 2002. Oil processing companies selected to test the low-sat/low-lin oil will be identified within this time frame, as will the methods in which the oil will be tested. Processors and food companies will assess the oil's functionality, stability and flavor to ensure it meets their needs. (Source: Foodonline.com)

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FOOD BIOTECH RESOURCES:
Ag-West Biotech, Inc. - http://www.agwest.sk.ca
AgBio Forum Magazine - http://www.agbioforum.missouri.edu
AgBiotechNet - http://www.agbiotechnet.com
AG Care - http://www.agcare.org
Agri-Food Risk Management & Communication - http://www.plant.uoguelph.ca/safefood/
Agricultural Biotechnology for Sustainable Productivity Support Project - http://www.iia.msu.edu/absp
Agricultural Genome Information System
-http://www.eldar.org/~ben/scout/html/460.html
Alliance for Better Foods
-http://www.betterfoods.org
American Crop Protection Association - http://www.acpa.org/public/issues/biotech/plantbiot.html
American Feed Industry Association - http://www.afia.org
The Biotechnology Information Center (BIC) National Agricultural Library, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultrual Research Service - http://warp.nal.usda.gov:80/bic/


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NCPA produced the Guide to Edible Oils as a handy reference about oil composition, processing, selection, application, quality evaluation and nutrition in a user-friendly format that covers all edible oils. This Spanish language version has been a useful tool in generating interest when the Association attends food trade shows in Mexico or places ad in Spanish language magazines. Inquiries received by the NCPA in response to this and other ads are place in the Members Only—Trade Leads area of our web page, www.cottonseed.com


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DAIRY HERD MANAGEMENT SURVEYED - Dr. Wayne Kellogg, Univ. of Arkansas, summarized the findings of his study of management practices of high producing dairy herds in the U.S. to the Association’s Research & Education Committee earlier this month. The 133 Holstein dairy herds responding to his survey averaged 29,410 lbs of milk production, 1,056 lbs of fat and 934 lbs of protein. A few producers have achieved more than 35,000 lbs of milk per cow annually while the 1999 national average was 18,106 lbs. Corn silage, legume haylage and legume hay are the primary forages used. Whole cottonseed was fed by 53% of farms in the East, 78% of farms in the Midwest, and 89% of farms in the West.


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CHANGE OF ADDRESS - Please send all change of address information to: National Cottonseed Products Association, P.O. Box 172267, Memphis, TN  38187-2267, or email to rwright@cottonseed.com.

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© National Cottonseed Products Association, Inc.
November 15, 2000

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